More detailed evaluation....
first the time period, I believe it is become a imaginary number, since the scientific improvement, appearantly are not developed as fast as it stated here!)
1. 2004年印尼與鄰近地區將會發生9級地震，死傷人數過萬！(已實現了@@) (well, I wonder do they really have this statement, or they add in right after the event happend, and what happen about the CA earthquake?)
2. 2008年北京成功舉辦奧運，但可能是最後一次！ (Reaonable)
3. 2009年中國成為全世界最強勁的國家，人口高達二十億！ (Reasonable number, unless, they used the partial exponential in the population equation)
4. 2009年台灣與中國爆發戰爭，最後中國勝利，而台灣即時被列入中國版圖！永遠屬於中國！(Case sensitive, not willing to comment! )
5. 2012年世界上出現第一部機械人！ ( what type of Robot does he describe here? AI or Ai with restriction?)
6. 2013年機械人數目每日新增2000個！(possible! consider the demands base on population in that time!)
7. 2019年全球最多機械人國家為中國，第二為日本，第三為美國！(well, it really depend on the prices of the robot, however, it is unreaonable to see China's people are capable to offer such high numbers of robot)
8. 2020年美國人大幅遷移到中國居住！(this is kind of weird statement, since US has more habitable lands compare to China and more efficient transportation, which require China to spend years over years to develop)
9. 2022年英文被OUT，中文，阿拉伯文等將會成為世界主要語言！( the changing of mainstream language can't happen in less than a few years... beside, if you want a 2022 timeline, you may need to start teaching china as secondary language in every country's education system)
10.2023年世界出現首個人造太陽！(reasonable statement, conflict with the moon issue)
11.2026年中國人發明利用【天梯】登上外太空！ (interesting argument.... however, I could often believe, it is Japanese capable create such technology)
12.2027年美國首都轉去Omaha Nebraska！(Nebraska.... why Nebraska?????)
13.2032年地球接收到外太空的Message！告訴地球人將會面對一場《浩劫》！ (Amazing..... without any from above about finding new key metrix on alien language, we have eventually decode the message, that is great!)
14.2035年俄羅斯科學家發明人類可不用睡覺！(Russian's economy, I wonder can be develope and advance its technology to that stage by that time?!)
15.2036年新西蘭、歐洲、中國的醫學家發明一顆『強勁藥丸』，病人只要吃下，身體的大病，例如：癌症等等，都會立即消除！(possible argument, reasonable assumption on joint technology research!)
16.2038年人類炸毀月球，並自己造出一顆新的衛星！ (well, the arguement is kind of weird.... by the way, why waste the resources!)
17.2042年澳洲會沈下大海中，從此世界上就沒有澳洲這塊陸地！ (geo assumption, no comment)
18.2043年由機械人統治世界！ (True AI resulting domination is a argument for all physicist, I am agree with the assumption, that is why, we need to be cautious to AI development and control!)
19.2049年全球出現已滅絕的『天花』，幸好醫學昌明，並無死傷人數！(possible... I hope they still save all the data on the virus...)
20.2052年意大利科學家研究人類可穿越過去與未來，但不會影響現況！ (amazing... the quantum study has reach the highest point!, I wonder does this day ever reach!)
ONE THING, IT IS ENERGY CHANGES MAY NOT HAPPEN THAT RAPID, BESIDE, IT IS STILL BELIEVE THE PETROLEUM STILL GOING TO BE MAINSTREAM FOR A LONG WHILE....
above is my personal opinion, and please not be offended by those words!
[ Last edited by spacetimer on 2005-2-24 at 07:47 AM ] |
